Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.000144 0.000159 0.000176 0.000194 0.000216 0.000239 0.000266
2025-08-24 0.000113 0.000135 0.000160 0.000191 0.000229 0.000275 0.000333
2025-08-31 0.000093 0.000117 0.000146 0.000185 0.000235 0.000299 0.000386
2025-09-07 0.000082 0.000107 0.000140 0.000185 0.000247 0.000331 0.000452
2025-09-14 0.000074 0.000101 0.000137 0.000188 0.000263 0.000367 0.000527
2025-09-21 0.000066 0.000093 0.000130 0.000185 0.000268 0.000389 0.000583
2025-09-28 0.000059 0.000084 0.000121 0.000178 0.000266 0.000400 0.000623
2025-10-05 0.000055 0.000081 0.000119 0.000180 0.000278 0.000433 0.000702
2025-10-12 0.000052 0.000078 0.000118 0.000185 0.000294 0.000472 0.000795
2025-10-19 0.000048 0.000074 0.000114 0.000182 0.000298 0.000493 0.000858
2025-10-26 0.000045 0.000071 0.000113 0.000184 0.000310 0.000529 0.000953
2025-11-02 0.000042 0.000067 0.000109 0.000182 0.000314 0.000549 0.001021
2025-11-09 0.000039 0.000064 0.000105 0.000181 0.000320 0.000577 0.001110
2025-11-16 0.000036 0.000060 0.000101 0.000178 0.000323 0.000599 0.001192
2025-11-23 0.000033 0.000056 0.000096 0.000172 0.000320 0.000609 0.001249
2025-11-30 0.000031 0.000054 0.000094 0.000172 0.000329 0.000643 0.001364
2025-12-07 0.000030 0.000053 0.000094 0.000175 0.000343 0.000690 0.001516
2025-12-14 0.000028 0.000050 0.000090 0.000172 0.000344 0.000710 0.001606
2025-12-21 0.000026 0.000047 0.000085 0.000166 0.000338 0.000712 0.001656
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000045 0.000085 0.000168 0.000350 0.000758 0.001819
2026-01-04 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000172 0.000367 0.000815 0.002022
2026-01-11 0.000023 0.000043 0.000082 0.000169 0.000369 0.000839 0.002139
2026-01-18 0.000022 0.000042 0.000082 0.000172 0.000382 0.000890 0.002340